Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.691920 4.262968 4.893749 5.642355 6.506879 7.474332 8.639768
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.962973 3.718762 4.625456 5.794049 7.261801 9.046429 11.384815
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.338046 3.154857 4.207634 5.665621 7.636011 10.211895 13.844893
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.862549 2.680618 3.804571 5.464242 7.858886 11.199076 16.231435
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.598931 2.439743 3.663849 5.579908 8.514054 12.855668 19.802792
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.336969 2.151284 3.400899 5.463491 8.798090 14.005200 22.808552
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.224646 2.069926 3.431921 5.793533 9.808926 16.401068 28.132197
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.107878 1.959717 3.395640 6.001698 10.644664 18.629553 33.532397
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.979853 1.808058 3.263915 6.020752 11.150727 20.363401 38.339247
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.827354 1.587799 2.977672 5.715660 11.021248 20.941552 41.118073
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.771803 1.538044 2.991870 5.966673 11.960126 23.610030 48.270317
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.741525 1.531775 3.085629 6.382572 13.277100 27.185383 57.774920
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.681068 1.459168 3.045600 6.538151 14.123779 30.015644 66.358459
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.616501 1.368130 2.955105 6.575534 14.732114 32.456054 74.548609
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.538109 1.234946 2.756168 6.346780 14.724441 33.576604 79.998257
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.467547 1.108031 2.551595 6.071837 14.565564 34.330574 84.720083
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.432224 1.057113 2.510358 6.169559 15.294599 37.240476 95.136202
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.385471 0.971547 2.375916 6.021953 15.405403 38.695859 102.183883
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.372982 0.968577 2.438800 6.373787 16.823627 43.588268 118.966657
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.353977 0.946044 2.449993 6.595108 17.941130 47.895049 134.956879
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.326574 0.897232 2.387179 6.611128 18.514178 50.867871 147.801967
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.286349 0.807630 2.204665 6.272885 18.058925 50.995998 152.573822
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.275918 0.799124 2.238848 6.546759 19.382058 56.274075 173.435220